With the sudden surge in international oil prices, will the international crude oil price in the future start a rising cycle?

3月27日，国际原油价格突然开始反弹，从69美元附近涨至73美元，跳涨了3美元，涨幅超过5%。

On March 27, the international crude oil price suddenly began to rebound, rising from around $69 to $73, jumping by $3, or more than 5%.

除了WTI原油以外，美原油期货也在上涨，纽约商品交易所5月交货的轻质原油期货价格周一收涨超5%，报每桶72.81美元，5月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格涨4%，报每桶78.03美元。

In addition to WTI crude oil, US crude oil futures are also rising. The price of light crude oil for May delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed more than 5% higher on Monday at $72.81 per barrel, while the price of London Brent crude oil for May delivery rose 4% to $78.03 per barrel.

自3月7日以来，国际原油价格开始连续暴跌，最低甚至跌破了64美元一桶的价格，成为近期的低位。纵使3月20日开始有小幅反弹，依然幅度不大。然而，3月月27日的暴涨直接冲破了前期的各条均线，开启了新一轮的上涨。

Since March 7th, the international crude oil price has continued to plummet, reaching a recent low of 64 US dollars per barrel. Even if there was a slight rebound starting on March 20th, it was still not significant. However, the sharp rise on March 27th directly broke through the previous average lines, opening a new round of rising.

短期内国际油价的上涨是有限的，且国际原油价格大概率出现震荡走势，不会影响到国内的汽油、柴油价格上涨。

In the short term, the rise of international oil prices is limited, and the likely rate of international crude oil prices fluctuates, which will not affect the rise of domestic gasoline and diesel prices.

归根究底，这场原油价格是上涨，是俄乌冲突在大宗商品领域的蔓延，原油、粮食，这是俄罗斯手中的两大硬通货，随着双方的制裁不断加深，对大宗商品市场的影响也就越来越大。

In the final analysis, this crude oil price is rising, which is the spread of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in the field of commodities. Crude oil and grain are the two major hard currencies in Russia's hands. With the deepening of sanctions from both sides, the impact on the commodity market will become greater and greater.

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